October 12th, 2011 9:14 AM by Eric Fang
Only a few days ago, the "news" said that the interest rate is record low. And now it's 0.25% to 0.375% higherfor most of the fixed program.
If you asked a lot of other loan agents, they would tell you that the rates indeed went up. But not all ofthem know why.
Ok. The rate went up because of the Fed "twist operation"and ECB. The rate rate went up because of ECB.
ECB announced dollar-based funding that would ensure European banks retained sufficient liquidity to operate through the end of the year, that the reaction was positive for stocks and negative for bonds. It also seemed like the collective "panic" was able to breathe some sort of sigh of relief. That's why the interest rates were higher.
The question is: will the rate go lower? My answer is yes.First, the fundamental did not change, did not change for better. Second, Fed will continue to purchase long term bonds, so the rates will stay low.
But as always, the rate can go up 0.5% in a single day,it might take 3 to 6 months go back to the previous low level.
Let's wait and see. Have a good day.